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Wind Kaput

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I have been told on a number of occasions by several people on DA just how Incredible things are going for 'green' energy in Germany. It's Amazing! It's Fantastic! Germany is getting MOST of it's power from wind and solar!

BUNKUS.

Is there a German Energiewende ?  meteolcd.wordpress.com/2015/11…

Three professors from the Physikalisches Institut Universität Heidelberg have written a very short article in February 2015, titled “Findet eine Energiewende statt?” Contrary to what one usually reads (i.e. the Energiewende is only seen as implying electricity production), they discuss how the amount of fossil energies in the total German energy consumption has changed between 2000 and 2013. During that period, a solar photo-voltaic capacity of nearly 39 GW, and a wind-turbine capacity of approx. 34 GW were installed, quite impressive numbers (a large nuclear reactor has a 1.5 GW capacity)!

The costs of the PV installations alone installed from 2000 to 2012 are estimated at 108 billion Euro (including the yet to pay amounts for the future feed-in). The total costs of the EEG (Erneuerbare Energie Gesetz) are staggering, and mostly unknown. One estimation by Hermann (2011), actually seen as much too low, gives a total of 350 billion Euro up to 2030; 500 billion probably will be exceeded.

What is the effect of this huge effort? The figure below shows the total energy consumption in Germany from 2000 to 2013. The left scale shows the percentages, with the situation in 2000 taken as 100%. I added the boxes and arrows. (see chart at top of page)

We see that the percentage of fossil fuel energy was about 84% in 2000 and remains at least 80% in 2013 compared to the 2000 reference; actually it is 90% of the slightly lower total consumption in 2013. So in 14 years of extraordinary expansion of renewables there is at best a minuscule diminution of the total amount of fossil fuels used for heating, driving, industrial processes and electricity production (and even an increase in the 2013 percentage).

The professors rightly conclude: “Der bisherige Ausbau der Wind- und Solarenergie ist augenfällig, das bisher Erreichte fällt aber sehr bescheiden aus, gemessen am Gesamtziel einer weitgehend von fossilen Energieträgern unabhängigen Energieversorgung unseres Landes”.

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Direct link to the paper here www.physi.uni-heidelberg.de/en…

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I've said it before and I will say it again: INSTALLED CAPACITY IS NOT THE SAME AS ACTUAL GENERATING CAPACITY.  What the equipment is capable of is NOT what it actually produces, and that is almost entirely due to the fact that WIND AND SOLAR ARE HIGHLY VARIABLE SOURCES OF ENERGY!

Anyone who believes that just because Germany installed enough wind and solar equipment to generate upwards of 80-90% of its' needs, they MUST be getting 80-90% of their energy from 'green' sources..... well, can't say it any plainer: your Brain is turned OFF.

Oh, and btw: Germany just turned on the newest and Largest coal-fired power plant notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpr…

Just in time for the Paris Climate FLOP, errrrrr, COP.

Suck on that one, creeps!

(since I can't say who I mean, I will just say: BOOTS. STAMPS. DALE.)  ;)

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I've worked with the German power industry (mostly in Bavaria, in the mid 2000s.) Their engineers are perfectly aware that their alternative energy push is just an expensive show-piece with no actual application. Their senior management is also aware of this, but are eager to get all the money that is being sucked up from German tax payers and handed over to the companies making the "green" power projects. The middle-management types are often true believers who are depressed that after all that money and effort, green power hasn't taken over.